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Empowering Your Energy Strategy With Insights From The Stone House Group

As Quarter 1 of 2024 closes, energy usage reports are highlighting why it is important for our clients to be informed about their energy consumption and procurement options. At The Stone House Group, we will empower your energy strategy using the latest insights to make the best choice for your facilities. As industry experts, we understand the challenges faced by diverse sectors, including education, finance, and governance, in managing energy needs efficiently. Let's delve into key updates and trends shaping the energy market for Quarter 1 of 2024, offering invaluable insights for your energy strategy.

Meeting that demand requires a clear understanding of the technologies reshaping the industry and how to apply them in the real world. We’ve identified several emerging technologies that should be on every Facility Manager’s radar. We’ve categorized them by their primary impact: Energy and Operations.

March 26, 2024
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Piloting the Future of Campus Operations: Emerging Technologies for the Modern Campus

PART 1: ENERGY

Building-Integrated Photovoltaics (BIPV)

A new form of solar panels is officially entering the US market, offering a more aesthetically pleasing alternative to traditional rooftop solar. The European company Roofit.Solar focuses on a technology called building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV), where the roofing material itself is the solar panel. These integrated systems minimize visual impact, which is often a consideration for historic buildings or aesthetically sensitive campuses.

Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)

Heat pump technology has undergone a significant transformation, overcoming past performance limitations, especially in colder climates. Recent studies, such as those conducted by organizations like the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), confirm their viability and efficacy even in regions with harsh winters, making them a crucial technology for decarbonization efforts nationwide.

Geo-exchange / Groundsource Heat Pumps (GSHC)

Geo-exchange (or ground source heat pump) systems remain one of the most effective ways to heat and cool facilities using the stable temperature of the earth, providing high-efficiency heating/cooling regardless of external weather conditions. The financial viability of these systems has been significantly boosted by the continued availability of federal and state tax credits, which can substantially lower the first-cost hurdle, making the long-term ROI even more attractive. Innovation in this area focuses on optimizing the drilling process and improving heat transfer efficiency to reduce installation costs and land usage. For instance, Minnesota-based Darcy Solutions has pioneered "turbo-charging" mechanisms that utilize the high thermal conductivity of moving groundwater. By drawing heat from an aquifer rather than static soil, these systems allow for significantly fewer wells to achieve the same energy output, maximizing efficiency while minimizing site disruption.

PART 2: OPERATIONS

Open-Standard Intelligent Controls

The next generation of Building Automation Systems (BAS) is moving toward smarter, more flexible control architectures. New, non-proprietary controllers, such as those utilizing the EnOcean standard, are entering the market, offering a cheaper and more adaptable alternative to complex, expensive proprietary BAS. While the EnOcean standard itself does not incorporate artificial intelligence (AI), this shift gives facility managers more freedom in system configuration, allowing them to leverage AI and machine learning capabilities to control systems through a smart server. This setup allows for the autonomous reconfiguration of system points and optimization of performance, constantly fine-tuning a building's operation for peak efficiency and minimal energy waste.

Fault Detection and Diagnostics (FDD) Platforms

The next step beyond intelligent controls is using data analysis to constantly monitor and diagnose the operational health of your building portfolio. These platforms connect directly to your existing Building Automation System (BAS) to continuously ingest real-time operational data (e.g., temperatures, setpoints, valve positions, equipment runtimes, etc.). For example, a platform like ClockWorks utilizes proprietary FDD algorithms to automatically detect and diagnose operational faults and inefficiencies, turning raw data into opportunities for low-cost or no-cost corrections.

Smart Lock Cylinders

These modern systems replace traditional keyways with battery-powered mechanisms, providing detailed audit trails and simplifying access control for staff and visitors. Cutting-edge systems now explore "direct line of sight" non-connected power charging, eliminating the need for complex hardwiring at every door. 

3D Scanning for As-Built Documentation

Capturing accurate "as-built" conditions for existing facilities has traditionally been a time-consuming and expensive process, often involving professional surveying or manual measurements. Tools like Polycam (a mobile and desktop application) are democratizing this process by leveraging LiDAR and photogrammetry capabilities found in modern smartphones and tablets. The SHG team can partner with your facilities staff to rapidly scan rooms, entire floors, or building exteriors to generate accurate, georeferenced 3D models and 2D floor plans. This allows for near-instantaneous documentation of spaces for renovation planning, capital project management, and simply maintaining a digital twin of the campus.

Is Your Campus Ready for a Pilot?
Market Insights: Making Informed Decisions
  1. Staying Ahead: In the ever-evolving energy market, staying informed about market conditions is crucial for strategic procurement decisions.
  2. Abundant Resources: Natural Gas reserves and robust production continue to influence short-term market conditions, creating favorable procurement opportunities.
  3. Long-term Trends: Economic factors, global conditions, and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) dynamics shape long-term price trends, necessitating strategic planning.
  4. Optimal Procurement Period: Historically, January to May presents an ideal window for energy procurement, with shorter-term contracts offering favorable pricing.
Weather Outlook: Forecasting for Success
  1. Significant Impact: Weather patterns significantly impact energy consumption and market dynamics, highlighting the importance of accurate forecasting.
  2. Recent Trends: Recent weather patterns have led to a few cold patches in an overall warmer winter, impacting energy demand and the market.
  3. Continued Outlook: The El Niño weather system is expected to maintain warmer temperatures throughout the remaining winter months of 2024, influencing energy consumption patterns.
The three categories (below, normal, and above) are based on dividing a 30-year climatology period (1991-2020) into the coldest 10 years, the middle 10 years, and the warmest 10 years.

Natural Gas Storage: Insights for Stability
  1. Supply Dynamics: Monitoring Natural Gas storage levels provides insights into supply dynamics and market stability, crucial for informed procurement strategies.
  2. Current Stability: As of January 26, 2024, working gas in storage remains stable within historical ranges, providing stability amidst market shifts.

Futures and Historical Analysis: Strategic Planning Tools
  1. Valuable Insights: Historical data and futures market trends offer valuable insights for strategic procurement and risk management strategies.
  2. Strategic Tools: NYMEX provides pricing data for managing Natural Gas supply and anticipating future rates.
  3. Procurement Periods: Historical data indicates favorable procurement periods from January to May, aligning with strategic planning cycles.
  4. Future Trends: Current futures market trends show escalated rates for 2025-2026, emphasizing the importance of forward-looking strategies.

Dry Natural Gas Production: Understanding Supply Dynamics
  1. Industry Resilience: Record Natural Gas production in 2023 highlights industry resilience and growth, offering stability and supply availability.
  2. Regional Contributions: Key regions like Appalachia, Permian, and Anadarko significantly contribute to increased production levels, shaping market dynamics.
  3. Global Exporter: The U.S. continues as a global LNG exporter, with plans to double export capacity by 2027, impacting global energy markets.

Geopolitical Considerations: Navigating Global Dynamics
  1. Impactful Events: Geopolitical events can have far-reaching impacts on energy markets, influencing prices, supply chains, and risk management strategies.
  2. Middle East Dynamics: Escalating conflicts impact global shipping routes and LNG supplies, contributing to market volatility and upward price pressures.
Partnering for Success

The energy landscape reflects a delicate balance of market fundamentals, weather patterns, geopolitical dynamics, and production trends. At SHG, we are committed to helping you navigate these complexities and develop tailored strategies to optimize your energy resources and budgets effectively.

Take the next step in enhancing your energy strategy and learn more about our comprehensive energy management and consulting services. Contact us today to leverage our expertise and empower your organization's energy strategy for success.

Sources: EIA, S&P Global, NOAA, Constellation, CME Group, Reuters, NYT

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Source:

Wilson, E. J. H., Munankarmi, P., Less, B. D., Reyna, J. L., & Rothgeb, S. (2024). Heat pumps for all? Distributions of the costs and benefits of residential air-source heat pumps in the United States. Joule, 8(4), 1000–1035. Link: https://docs.nlr.gov/docs/fy24osti/84775.pdf

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